I am a
little late. Sorry, for being late with the report. Good Morning, Good
Afternoon or Good Evening where ever you are in the world. This is Texas Trade
Report for 26 December 2013. I am Liz S, your currency analyst for this
daily edition.
I will be talking about the CAD/JPY, AUD/CAD, GBP/CAD
currency pairs, gold and oil in this daily report. This is sole focus of this
report. Before I can go any further, here is the risk disclaimer.
Risk Disclaimer:
Trading Forex is a risky business and sometimes you will lose the money that you traded. You are leveraged 50:1 or even more. There is the risk of loss of the money have invested. Never invest money that you are not committed losing. There is a possibility of losing your original investment. If you are not sure about investing, seek the help of registered investment adviser.
Also, the purpose of this trading lesson is education. This does not constitute trading advice. Nor do I give out trading signals. All opinions are my own and not Blogger.com nor Google.com.
CAD/JPY Daily Chart |
Onto the CAD/JPY,
this pair had made it as a high to 98.59 the daily chart. It is currently
trading at 98.07. This pair has been trending upward for some time. With
conditions still not normal, we will continue to see weird trading conditions.
The Bank of Japan stated that they are opting to continue their stimulus plan
and bond buying purchases. This is why you see this upward trending scenario in
place including the price of . Now, I don’t think that this will continue
forever. Because it has been one way trade in one particular direction since
November 4. The price of oil will probably send this pair up. I do expect that
we do see this pair going to 101.06 level at some point down the road. Here are
the fib levels on the daily chart. The
fib levels at 23.6% level are 94.01 and 95.32 at 38.2 fib level. At 50.0 % fib
level is 96.49. At 61.8 fib level is 97.46.I am bullish for now.
Onto the AUD/CAD,
this pair had made it as a high to 0.9518 the daily chart. It is currently
trading at 0.9509. This pair has been trending down since October 25 2013.
At some
point, I do believe that this will start to bottom out. We just do not see
right at the moment as to when it will. I do expect in the coming days and
weeks that it will. This pair has been acting much like its counterpart the
AUD/USD. I am still expecting it will trend up. The fib levels at 23.6% level
are 0.9408 and 0.9556 at 38.2 fib level. At 50.0 % fib level is 0.9676. At 61.8
fib level is 0.9798. I am neutral right now until we do form bottom.
Onto the GBP/CAD,
this pair has been trending up and is still in a rising wedge pattern. It is currently
trading at 1.7647. It made a high of 1.7669. This pair is rising to the upside.
The key fib level for 23.6% are 1.5970 and at
38.2% fib level is 1.6301. At the 50.0% fib level, it is 1.6563 and at the
61.8% fib level 1.6830. Quiet market conditions are prevalent today. I am going
to wait for confirmation. It has risen too fast. We do see this with a lot of
the Yen crosses. I am neutral until we can get confirmation for bearishness.
Gold Daily Chart |
Onto
gold, we did get a small pullback and a minor one.. It is currently trading at $1212.90.
I still believe that break above the $1265.95 and stay above it that would be
bullish. We don’t have any major
activity at the moment. I am still bullish longer term for gold when it does
form a solid bottom. I am going to wait and see if what happens at this point.
Onto oil,
it is currently trading at $100.41 a barrel and is up a little bit. It is up by
0.86%. We forecasted that oil would go above $100.00. The key fib levels for
oil at 50.0% at $100.50 and 102.79 at 61.8 fib level on the daily chart. It is
happening at the time of writing this article. I am still bullish on oil.
The markets are still bullish and will finish out that way. I am not expecting risk aversion to take hold at the end of the year. I do expect going into the new year that we might see some risk aversion. The new year will be a bit different. We have overbought markets and there is ample indication of it. We still have abnormal trading conditions. I do expect the markets will return to the normal conditions that we see with overbought and oversold to return to normal and not to extremes like we have the holidays. Also,here
is a little quick reminder. Also, I will donating some of the commissions as an
affiliate from the products and service anyone buys from this website to the
locating charities especially after volunteering two days ago. This means if you
buy gold and silver from Regal Assets, I will donate 10% of my sales
commissions as an affiliate spokesperson. I will put out another report on
Sunday. Have great weekend and good luck trading for the rest of today. m Regal
Assets and them to people in need and
giving the local food banks.
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the way it unfolds.
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